Atlassian CEO on the SaaS Apocalypse, AI Agents & What Comes Next
Video Overview & Insights
Alex Rampell and Erik Torenberg speak with Mike Cannon-Brookes, cofounder and CEO of Atlassian, about how to make sense of the SaaS selloff, why not all software companies face the same AI-driven risks, and how Atlassian is thinking about the shift from records to processes. They also examine the real design challenge of getting everyday users to trust and benefit from AI agents in enterprise workflows.
just realized it's like listening to 3 people with the worst products and worst takes in the world having a conversation. hard watch
Timestamps:
00:00 — Introduction
I said wow out loud sbout 3 times- these guys are good
Very glad to reconfirm some of my thinking
03:16 — Risk Level Has Gone Up
06:44 — Three Types of SaaS Companies
Meandering self-serving conversation from a few guys on the deck of the Titanic pretending it's not going to sink because all their valuables are onboard.
11:07 — Vibe Coding Is Preposterous
14:23 — Businesses Are a Set of Processes
SaaS will survive for collaboration use cases. You cannot just prompt a maintainable, performant, secure and reliable software platform into existence. Not yet.
31:25 — AI Credits as Casino Chips
35:24 — How Atlassian Is Adapting
The threat is not vibe coders, it’s the ai companies + agentic, intent driven capabilities need to grow. All SaaS will be abstracted inside the well known llms themselves.
43:26 — Why Customer Trust Is Hard
Resources:
My man said food is cheaper in a restaurant 😂
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Most saas is CRUD and AI knows CRUD and Sql. So much smaller teams, much faster can repeat it. These CEOs are not sleeping well 😉
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all over the place, not informative
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I understand this video... canonically
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In the 54 minutes I took to watch this fluff the Atlassian share price probably dropped another 10% and another 1000 employees got fired.
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The agents thing its just a bubble
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copium
More User Perspectives
Corporate mumbo jumbo word salad. TLDR nobody knows shit about what the future will bring. Save yourself 1 hour of fluff and watch something else.
@dashmasterfulI think he’s right that edge cases are the are the catalyst of ai coding, but he has it backwards. The reason businesses will vibe code their own solutions is because their edge cases aren’t being serviced by the off the shelf software solutions that are “in the wild” currently
@gregsteller8074btw Jira sucks
@TheKaijuComplexi dont care what any CEO has to say who stands to benefit from this. they fear monger in hopes that we surrender and allow AI to "take over" all the while true ai doesnt and may never exist. its more power grabs. what do you get the man that has it all? more power. disgusting
@TheKaijuComplexWhere Intuit excels at is their user experience if you read the the book Voice and Tone Strategy: Connecting with People through Content by John Caldwell, you will see the whole secret behind it. What makes intuit the leader in the market is that they took a process that is public and complicated and confusing with the most obnauseous forms and requirements and made it painless, simple and straight forward.
@accessiblebitsI agree with the point about customization happening on top of SaaS products. However, when you extrapolate the downward trajectory of development cost for setting up battle tested open source alternatives (which are getting better by the day through ai assisted coding) then the break-even for organizations to set something up themselves goes in the low double digit seat pricing for most products. As a trend this might take many years to mature and SaaS products aren't static. Still, we see how strong fully integrated businesses can become when looking at what Elon Musk is building for instance.
@DavidKlippel-gc2fvGreat discussion
@saibreathThe big threat in the AI era is that switching cost will be very low. I can recreate my small business records with a new AI vendor much more easily. I can just ask Claude to use the browser or API to got though all pages of the current system of record and migrate to the new one. I request if A16 can address this issue in the next podcast
@psychicopusBS - tokens costs are issues for scale. Saas costs to add the second 1000 users is close to zero. With AI each user adds token costs.
@gator701Interesting timing — Atlassian just announced a 10% workforce cut this week to pivot around AI, right after this was recorded. The 'records to processes' frame is smart, but the real test is whether established vendors can execute that self-disruption before an AI-native competitor does it cheaper and faster.
@MyRebuildProjectWhat is a SaaS company? You guys sure you know what you are talking about or fear mongering?
@iotcoffeetalk"Jira?! Where we're going We don't need Jira!!!"
@jan_slominskiWas listening to this a couple of days ago and today Atlassian decided to cut 10% of its worforce to pivot around AI
@manasgangwani1015That example about the locksmith misses the point why that customer is pissed: 1 the locksmith didn’t tell him beforehand what it’s gonna cost him and 2 if indeed it’s a job that takes in average 30 second to any reasonably competent locksmith then yeah, this is overcharging.
@IzanamishunI hate jira with a passion. Agents writing the code and doing the tasks will finally kill the beast.
@senographappThe discussion around shifting from records to processes really resonates. At Lifewood Data Technology, we’ve found that integrating AI agents into well-defined workflows, rather than just overlaying them on existing tools, is key to building trust and driving measurable enterprise impact.
@off_Gr1dWow. Reaaaly good information here
@jg5875This podcast should just be the intro
@clip_buffsGetting advices from the guy behind Jira? 😂
@chauchau0825I clicked this accidentally thinking it was a krazam video
@BendySendyi love how the AI thinks Mike's ear is a lion...
@jbweimarLess Alex more MCB please!
@vigilanteheatxAI is great and it is a revolution and there's no going back.
Comparing a human fetching a file manually in the 1950s to the Computer and Information Technology revolution is wild. The 60s-2000s saw unprecedented growth in revenue, GDP, and productivity, and quality of life largely driven by software. In these aspects, the jury is still out on AI.
Great developers are not going to go away and in fact one can argue they are more important than ever as the leverage of human to machine and machine code goes up dramatically.
What will get hit hard is knowledge workers who used software to solve problems and now an AI agent will replace those human functions so either they will be laid off or upskilled.
We have already seen this occur. Nobody is hired to just send out faxes. Email replaced that work.
Love him
@moatKaylinEveryone will vibe-code their own replacements from open-sourced well-spec’s prompts bespoke to their business.
Specs to prescribe best practise and avoid common pitfalls.
No compromise that comes with SaaS trying to cater for thousands of businesses. Bespoke well-specced and tested apps.
A fraction of the cost to build and run. Running better for their business. With lower risk.
Bet.
I like that they think there’s a secret handbook at a consulting company and that the tax code is clear enough to just be downloaded and read by the robots. Oh engineers…
@tjrhillRemember if you are an Accounting Firm Intuit is a key part of your enterprise, you have all your client’s prior returns. Your staff know the tool well. The cost of ownership is relatively modest for the firm vs their revenue, so magically vibe coding save you an insignificant sum vs their revenue. On the other hand a few small errors in the vibe coded replacement could sink the whole firm
@MarkPizziniThey talk like politicians: all self-interest, I leaned nothing. Can you say pager, phone booth, flip phone?
@fredelias6Within 5 years, one prompt will build jira.
@timmyers9798Why aren’t any of the speakers introduced or identified at the beginning of the video, and why are two people being interviewed if this is titled as an interview with the founder of Atlassian? Who is the second person relative to the Atlassian CEO?
@ChrisJerdonekAlex ?
@arthurking2614In summary:
SaaS companies have had 2 moats, 1) technical complexity of building it 2)lessons learned while in business for many years. 1) is now gone. 2) remains.
Saas Pricing will change because humans (who pay to use) no longer run software, software runs itself.
The layer that's missing from this conversation is the one that collapses all the others. Tailor-made solutions will eventually make dashboards and interfaces unnecessary. Not because they get better, but because they become redundant.
I see a future where AI orchestrates flows directly from raw data, inferring contextualized information on a per-need basis. Workflows stop being a set of instructions. They become the intelligence itself, knowledge applied to data in real time.
That's not a dashboard. That's not a BI tool. That's the business thinking for itself.
So silly and a bit sad whenever I hear folks say: "This ___[fill-in-the-blank]___ will never happen."
... like when I hear on this podcast this wild, naive take: "Nobody gets rid of Salesforce."
... oh, really? That feels like the beginning of the end, especially when they said it so confidently. The presumption is that we really don't know how this is going to play out but I'm certain that it will and must necessarily change. Probably all of it.
You can vibe code as much as you like.But I personally feel it takes a software engineer to understand what is really going on under the hood otherwise we are looking at maintenance nightmare
@TheContrarianViewsThis was an amazing episode
@MarcoS-vb8jqwell, about salesforce, you should not be paying if you don't use it .. for example, where I work, Salesforce is used for a very particular process so only the employees involved in that process have accounts/licences
@jean-phil